XMR_USDT risk profile

Chronos2 projections for volatility-adjusted confidence bands, expected return deltas, and intraday refresh targets.

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Last price $517.77

Volatility (30m forecast) 0.78%

Expected Δ (30m) -0.02%

95% confidence band $509.72 – $525.61

Recent risk prints

Chronos2 hourly bars

Timestamp	Price	Vol (30m)	Expected Δ	95% Band	Signal
2026-09-02 06:00 UTC	$517.77	0.78%	-0.02%	$509.72 – $525.61	hold
2026-09-02 05:00 UTC	$517.27	0.78%	-0.04%	$509.12 – $525.00	hold
2026-09-02 04:00 UTC	$515.67	0.79%	-0.05%	$507.47 – $523.37	hold
2026-09-02 03:00 UTC	$513.08	0.79%	-0.09%	$504.64 – $520.58	hold
2026-09-02 02:00 UTC	$510.79	0.79%	-0.08%	$502.45 – $518.31	hold
2026-09-02 01:00 UTC	$503.85	0.79%	-0.00%	$496.08 – $511.60	hold
2026-09-02 00:00 UTC	$502.75	0.79%	-0.07%	$494.65 – $510.12	hold
2026-09-01 23:00 UTC	$503.62	0.79%	-0.10%	$495.36 – $510.88	hold
2026-09-01 22:00 UTC	$495.56	0.78%	0.04%	$488.23 – $503.32	hold
2026-09-01 21:00 UTC	$493.87	0.78%	0.09%	$486.78 – $501.84	hold
2026-09-01 20:00 UTC	$499.87	0.77%	-0.05%	$492.09 – $507.18	hold
2026-09-01 19:00 UTC	$502.80	0.77%	-0.06%	$494.92 – $510.06	hold
2026-09-01 18:00 UTC	$495.14	0.76%	0.05%	$488.03 – $502.79	hold
2026-09-01 17:00 UTC	$496.68	0.76%	0.12%	$489.89 – $504.70	hold
2026-09-01 16:00 UTC	$500.61	0.76%	0.06%	$493.48 – $508.33	hold
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC	$509.31	0.74%	-0.02%	$501.79 – $516.62	hold
2026-09-01 14:00 UTC	$506.57	0.74%	0.08%	$499.62 – $514.36	hold
2026-09-01 13:00 UTC	$507.19	0.74%	0.17%	$500.68 – $515.45	hold
2026-09-01 12:00 UTC	$515.12	0.73%	0.10%	$508.22 – $523.01	hold
2026-09-01 11:00 UTC	$525.26	0.71%	-0.04%	$517.75 – $532.39	hold
2026-09-01 10:00 UTC	$525.22	0.71%	-0.01%	$517.82 – $532.47	hold
2026-09-01 09:00 UTC	$521.48	0.71%	0.02%	$514.31 – $528.84	hold
2026-09-01 08:00 UTC	$523.76	0.71%	-0.03%	$516.29 – $530.88	hold
2026-09-01 07:00 UTC	$523.47	0.71%	-0.08%	$515.76 – $530.33	hold

Intraday refresh targets
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