XMR_USDT risk profile

Chronos2 projections for volatility-adjusted confidence bands, expected return deltas, and intraday refresh targets.

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Last price $398.02

Volatility (30m forecast) 0.39%

Expected Δ (30m) -0.02%

95% confidence band $394.89 – $401.00

Recent risk prints

Chronos2 hourly bars

Timestamp	Price	Vol (30m)	Expected Δ	95% Band	Signal
2026-08-13 04:00 UTC	$398.02	0.39%	-0.02%	$394.89 – $401.00	hold
2026-08-13 03:00 UTC	$398.00	0.39%	-0.03%	$394.83 – $400.95	hold
2026-08-13 02:00 UTC	$396.50	0.40%	-0.02%	$393.33 – $399.50	hold
2026-08-13 01:00 UTC	$395.88	0.40%	-0.04%	$392.64 – $398.84	hold
2026-08-13 00:00 UTC	$394.87	0.40%	-0.04%	$391.64 – $397.82	hold
2026-08-12 23:00 UTC	$393.10	0.40%	-0.03%	$389.91 – $396.05	hold
2026-08-12 22:00 UTC	$392.06	0.40%	0.01%	$389.03 – $395.16	hold
2026-08-12 21:00 UTC	$390.68	0.40%	0.02%	$387.70 – $393.81	hold
2026-08-12 20:00 UTC	$392.79	0.42%	0.04%	$389.70 – $396.16	hold
2026-08-12 19:00 UTC	$392.23	0.43%	0.07%	$389.22 – $395.80	hold
2026-08-12 18:00 UTC	$395.61	0.42%	-0.00%	$392.31 – $398.90	hold
2026-08-12 17:00 UTC	$397.94	0.42%	-0.01%	$394.60 – $401.17	hold
2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	$395.50	0.45%	-0.01%	$391.96 – $398.96	hold
2026-08-12 15:00 UTC	$396.91	0.45%	-0.03%	$393.29 – $400.30	hold
2026-08-12 14:00 UTC	$394.68	0.48%	-0.00%	$390.92 – $398.42	hold
2026-08-12 13:00 UTC	$394.56	0.65%	0.04%	$389.71 – $399.75	hold
2026-08-12 12:00 UTC	$394.49	0.67%	0.01%	$389.34 – $399.69	hold
2026-08-12 11:00 UTC	$398.01	0.67%	0.01%	$392.85 – $403.23	hold
2026-08-12 10:00 UTC	$394.95	0.66%	0.02%	$389.92 – $400.18	hold
2026-08-12 09:00 UTC	$398.57	0.66%	-0.02%	$393.36 – $403.64	hold
2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	$396.93	0.66%	-0.02%	$391.72 – $401.96	hold
2026-08-12 07:00 UTC	$397.17	0.66%	-0.08%	$391.74 – $401.98	hold
2026-08-12 06:00 UTC	$395.18	0.66%	-0.17%	$389.44 – $399.61	hold
2026-08-12 05:00 UTC	$391.06	0.65%	-0.14%	$385.54 – $395.52	hold

Intraday refresh targets
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