XMR_USDT risk profile

Chronos2 projections for volatility-adjusted confidence bands, expected return deltas, and intraday refresh targets.

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Last price $395.19

Volatility (30m forecast) 0.63%

Expected Δ (30m) -0.01%

95% confidence band $390.30 – $400.01

Recent risk prints

Chronos2 hourly bars

Timestamp	Price	Vol (30m)	Expected Δ	95% Band	Signal
2026-08-10 07:00 UTC	$395.19	0.63%	-0.01%	$390.30 – $400.01	hold
2026-08-10 06:00 UTC	$394.93	0.63%	0.01%	$390.12 – $399.82	hold
2026-08-10 05:00 UTC	$394.48	0.63%	0.00%	$389.65 – $399.35	hold
2026-08-10 04:00 UTC	$395.74	0.63%	0.03%	$391.00 – $400.71	hold
2026-08-10 03:00 UTC	$394.86	0.63%	0.01%	$390.07 – $399.76	hold
2026-08-10 02:00 UTC	$398.08	0.62%	-0.04%	$393.06 – $402.76	hold
2026-08-10 01:00 UTC	$395.92	0.62%	-0.03%	$390.98 – $400.60	hold
2026-08-10 00:00 UTC	$394.68	0.62%	-0.03%	$389.76 – $399.36	hold
2026-08-09 23:00 UTC	$393.36	0.62%	-0.03%	$388.46 – $398.02	hold
2026-08-09 22:00 UTC	$392.23	0.62%	0.07%	$387.73 – $397.27	hold
2026-08-09 21:00 UTC	$391.04	0.62%	0.04%	$386.42 – $395.93	hold
2026-08-09 20:00 UTC	$397.67	0.60%	-0.08%	$392.66 – $402.04	hold
2026-08-09 19:00 UTC	$393.81	0.60%	-0.03%	$389.06 – $398.30	hold
2026-08-09 18:00 UTC	$391.39	0.60%	0.10%	$387.19 – $396.37	hold
2026-08-09 17:00 UTC	$391.20	0.60%	0.11%	$387.04 – $396.21	hold
2026-08-09 16:00 UTC	$399.30	0.57%	0.12%	$395.31 – $404.24	hold
2026-08-09 15:00 UTC	$399.82	0.57%	-0.14%	$394.80 – $403.72	hold
2026-08-09 14:00 UTC	$408.99	0.53%	-0.36%	$403.24 – $411.77	sell
2026-08-09 13:00 UTC	$388.87	0.33%	-0.12%	$385.90 – $390.92	sell
2026-08-09 12:00 UTC	$381.25	0.29%	-0.01%	$379.05 – $383.35	hold
2026-08-09 11:00 UTC	$379.86	0.29%	0.02%	$377.78 – $382.09	hold
2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	$380.23	0.29%	0.02%	$378.16 – $382.48	hold
2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	$381.43	0.31%	-0.01%	$379.09 – $383.68	hold
2026-08-09 08:00 UTC	$382.11	0.31%	-0.02%	$379.74 – $384.32	hold

Intraday refresh targets
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