ETH_USDT risk profile

Chronos2 projections for volatility-adjusted confidence bands, expected return deltas, and intraday refresh targets.

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Last price $1885.86

Volatility (30m forecast) 0.22%

Expected Δ (30m) -0.01%

95% confidence band $1877.40 – $1893.86

Recent risk prints

Chronos2 hourly bars

Timestamp	Price	Vol (30m)	Expected Δ	95% Band	Signal
2026-08-13 04:00 UTC	$1885.86	0.22%	-0.01%	$1877.40 – $1893.86	hold
2026-08-13 03:00 UTC	$1886.64	0.22%	-0.02%	$1877.95 – $1894.41	hold
2026-08-13 02:00 UTC	$1881.28	0.22%	-0.00%	$1873.00 – $1889.40	hold
2026-08-13 01:00 UTC	$1877.53	0.22%	0.00%	$1869.45 – $1885.76	hold
2026-08-13 00:00 UTC	$1879.69	0.23%	-0.00%	$1871.19 – $1888.03	hold
2026-08-12 23:00 UTC	$1879.04	0.23%	-0.00%	$1870.52 – $1887.37	hold
2026-08-12 22:00 UTC	$1878.13	0.23%	0.02%	$1870.02 – $1887.08	hold
2026-08-12 21:00 UTC	$1877.21	0.23%	0.01%	$1868.76 – $1885.85	hold
2026-08-12 20:00 UTC	$1886.56	0.23%	-0.00%	$1878.00 – $1895.00	hold
2026-08-12 19:00 UTC	$1879.20	0.23%	0.02%	$1871.26 – $1887.99	hold
2026-08-12 18:00 UTC	$1885.35	0.23%	0.01%	$1877.27 – $1893.96	hold
2026-08-12 17:00 UTC	$1887.74	0.23%	0.01%	$1879.63 – $1896.33	hold
2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	$1890.63	0.23%	-0.01%	$1882.12 – $1898.83	hold
2026-08-12 15:00 UTC	$1892.60	0.23%	0.02%	$1884.66 – $1901.39	hold
2026-08-12 14:00 UTC	$1887.60	0.22%	0.06%	$1880.45 – $1897.07	hold
2026-08-12 13:00 UTC	$1901.19	0.22%	0.04%	$1893.78 – $1909.96	hold
2026-08-12 12:00 UTC	$1911.05	0.21%	-0.01%	$1902.89 – $1918.95	hold
2026-08-12 11:00 UTC	$1914.90	0.21%	-0.03%	$1906.40 – $1922.44	hold
2026-08-12 10:00 UTC	$1908.40	0.21%	-0.05%	$1899.59 – $1915.43	hold
2026-08-12 09:00 UTC	$1905.32	0.21%	-0.04%	$1896.73 – $1912.52	hold
2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	$1890.80	0.20%	-0.01%	$1883.11 – $1898.16	hold
2026-08-12 07:00 UTC	$1891.51	0.20%	-0.00%	$1883.95 – $1899.05	hold
2026-08-12 06:00 UTC	$1887.53	0.20%	0.00%	$1880.12 – $1895.12	hold
2026-08-12 05:00 UTC	$1891.38	0.20%	-0.01%	$1883.60 – $1898.70	hold

Intraday refresh targets
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