BTC_USDT risk profile

Chronos2 projections for volatility-adjusted confidence bands, expected return deltas, and intraday refresh targets.

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Last price $63625.44

Volatility (30m forecast) 0.17%

Expected Δ (30m) -0.01%

95% confidence band $63410.61 – $63833.89

Recent risk prints

Chronos2 hourly bars

Timestamp	Price	Vol (30m)	Expected Δ	95% Band	Signal
2026-08-13 04:00 UTC	$63625.44	0.17%	-0.01%	$63410.61 – $63833.89	hold
2026-08-13 03:00 UTC	$63649.63	0.17%	-0.02%	$63428.09 – $63851.76	hold
2026-08-13 02:00 UTC	$63561.65	0.17%	0.00%	$63350.43 – $63773.37	hold
2026-08-13 01:00 UTC	$63456.08	0.17%	0.00%	$63246.93 – $63667.59	hold
2026-08-13 00:00 UTC	$63566.62	0.17%	-0.01%	$63346.35 – $63773.51	hold
2026-08-12 23:00 UTC	$63479.70	0.17%	-0.00%	$63265.69 – $63692.05	hold
2026-08-12 22:00 UTC	$63433.12	0.17%	0.01%	$63227.22 – $63655.37	hold
2026-08-12 21:00 UTC	$63463.13	0.17%	-0.00%	$63246.40 – $63675.65	hold
2026-08-12 20:00 UTC	$63597.01	0.17%	-0.02%	$63371.97 – $63801.18	hold
2026-08-12 19:00 UTC	$63421.02	0.17%	0.00%	$63212.17 – $63635.40	hold
2026-08-12 18:00 UTC	$63389.05	0.17%	0.01%	$63182.94 – $63605.61	hold
2026-08-12 17:00 UTC	$63476.38	0.17%	-0.00%	$63264.15 – $63686.91	hold
2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	$63493.66	0.17%	-0.01%	$63276.17 – $63699.01	hold
2026-08-12 15:00 UTC	$63459.45	0.17%	0.03%	$63267.21 – $63689.57	hold
2026-08-12 14:00 UTC	$63372.50	0.17%	0.06%	$63199.90 – $63620.24	buy
2026-08-12 13:00 UTC	$63840.56	0.16%	0.03%	$63661.40 – $64059.03	hold
2026-08-12 12:00 UTC	$64132.95	0.16%	0.00%	$63932.90 – $64334.11	hold
2026-08-12 11:00 UTC	$64236.08	0.16%	-0.01%	$64029.47 – $64430.14	hold
2026-08-12 10:00 UTC	$64144.08	0.16%	-0.03%	$63927.65 – $64326.28	hold
2026-08-12 09:00 UTC	$64110.83	0.16%	-0.02%	$63897.03 – $64296.39	hold
2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	$63803.55	0.15%	-0.01%	$63607.77 – $63991.88	hold
2026-08-12 07:00 UTC	$63829.61	0.15%	0.00%	$63638.60 – $64022.89	hold
2026-08-12 06:00 UTC	$63729.16	0.15%	0.00%	$63540.49 – $63922.34	hold
2026-08-12 05:00 UTC	$63852.34	0.15%	-0.00%	$63660.92 – $64042.12	hold

Intraday refresh targets
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