BTC_USDT risk profile

Chronos2 projections for volatility-adjusted confidence bands, expected return deltas, and intraday refresh targets.

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Last price $77604.55

Volatility (30m forecast) 0.24%

Expected Δ (30m) -0.00%

95% confidence band $77241.75 – $77962.14

Recent risk prints

Chronos2 hourly bars

Timestamp	Price	Vol (30m)	Expected Δ	95% Band	Signal
2026-09-02 06:00 UTC	$77604.55	0.24%	-0.00%	$77241.75 – $77962.14	hold
2026-09-02 05:00 UTC	$77638.29	0.24%	-0.01%	$77272.89 – $77995.26	hold
2026-09-02 04:00 UTC	$77552.49	0.24%	-0.01%	$77180.80 – $77901.76	hold
2026-09-02 03:00 UTC	$77554.07	0.24%	-0.04%	$77166.44 – $77887.26	hold
2026-09-02 02:00 UTC	$77328.89	0.24%	-0.01%	$76965.32 – $77680.18	hold
2026-09-02 01:00 UTC	$77013.48	0.23%	0.03%	$76682.25 – $77386.62	hold
2026-09-02 00:00 UTC	$77206.33	0.23%	0.00%	$76857.23 – $77561.29	hold
2026-09-01 23:00 UTC	$77434.82	0.23%	-0.02%	$77071.71 – $77774.31	hold
2026-09-01 22:00 UTC	$77264.91	0.23%	0.01%	$76923.94 – $77622.70	hold
2026-09-01 21:00 UTC	$77199.30	0.23%	0.01%	$76855.60 – $77553.66	hold
2026-09-01 20:00 UTC	$77433.47	0.23%	-0.02%	$77070.39 – $77766.66	hold
2026-09-01 19:00 UTC	$77306.00	0.23%	-0.00%	$76956.63 – $77650.49	hold
2026-09-01 18:00 UTC	$77135.77	0.23%	0.03%	$76812.46 – $77502.55	hold
2026-09-01 17:00 UTC	$77257.25	0.23%	0.04%	$76943.19 – $77633.98	hold
2026-09-01 16:00 UTC	$77572.86	0.23%	0.04%	$77257.91 – $77944.95	hold
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC	$77889.10	0.22%	0.01%	$77555.73 – $78239.47	hold
2026-09-01 14:00 UTC	$78148.55	0.22%	-0.01%	$77798.80 – $78481.20	hold
2026-09-01 13:00 UTC	$78059.49	0.22%	0.00%	$77716.26 – $78404.59	hold
2026-09-01 12:00 UTC	$77977.94	0.23%	0.00%	$77635.35 – $78323.45	hold
2026-09-01 11:00 UTC	$78078.13	0.22%	-0.01%	$77724.55 – $78412.61	hold
2026-09-01 10:00 UTC	$78007.16	0.22%	-0.01%	$77656.56 – $78343.73	hold
2026-09-01 09:00 UTC	$77887.61	0.22%	0.05%	$77580.89 – $78266.43	hold
2026-09-01 08:00 UTC	$77867.08	0.22%	0.06%	$77567.56 – $78252.96	hold
2026-09-01 07:00 UTC	$78615.38	0.21%	0.03%	$78319.48 – $78965.56	hold

Intraday refresh targets
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