ADA_USDT risk profile

Chronos2 projections for volatility-adjusted confidence bands, expected return deltas, and intraday refresh targets.

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Last price $0.18

Volatility (30m forecast) 0.37%

Expected Δ (30m) -0.03%

95% confidence band $0.18 – $0.19

Recent risk prints

Chronos2 hourly bars

Timestamp	Price	Vol (30m)	Expected Δ	95% Band	Signal
2026-08-13 04:00 UTC	$0.18	0.37%	-0.03%	$0.18 – $0.19	hold
2026-08-13 03:00 UTC	$0.18	0.37%	-0.08%	$0.18 – $0.19	hold
2026-08-13 02:00 UTC	$0.18	0.37%	-0.03%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-13 01:00 UTC	$0.18	0.36%	0.04%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-13 00:00 UTC	$0.18	0.38%	0.01%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-12 23:00 UTC	$0.18	0.38%	-0.05%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-12 22:00 UTC	$0.18	0.40%	0.01%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-12 21:00 UTC	$0.18	0.39%	0.05%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-12 20:00 UTC	$0.18	0.38%	0.01%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-12 19:00 UTC	$0.18	0.38%	0.01%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-12 18:00 UTC	$0.18	0.38%	-0.03%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-12 17:00 UTC	$0.18	0.39%	-0.04%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	$0.18	0.38%	0.01%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-12 15:00 UTC	$0.18	0.38%	0.04%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-12 14:00 UTC	$0.18	0.38%	0.06%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-12 13:00 UTC	$0.18	0.38%	0.06%	$0.18 – $0.18	hold
2026-08-12 12:00 UTC	$0.18	0.38%	0.05%	$0.18 – $0.19	hold
2026-08-12 11:00 UTC	$0.19	0.38%	0.05%	$0.18 – $0.19	hold
2026-08-12 10:00 UTC	$0.19	0.38%	-0.02%	$0.19 – $0.19	hold
2026-08-12 09:00 UTC	$0.19	0.38%	-0.06%	$0.19 – $0.19	hold
2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	$0.19	0.37%	-0.01%	$0.18 – $0.19	hold
2026-08-12 07:00 UTC	$0.18	0.37%	0.05%	$0.18 – $0.19	hold
2026-08-12 06:00 UTC	$0.19	0.37%	0.04%	$0.18 – $0.19	hold
2026-08-12 05:00 UTC	$0.19	0.37%	0.02%	$0.19 – $0.19	hold

Intraday refresh targets
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