ADA_USDT risk profile

Chronos2 projections for volatility-adjusted confidence bands, expected return deltas, and intraday refresh targets.

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Last price $0.20

Volatility (30m forecast) 0.40%

Expected Δ (30m) -0.02%

95% confidence band $0.20 – $0.20

Recent risk prints

Chronos2 hourly bars

Timestamp	Price	Vol (30m)	Expected Δ	95% Band	Signal
2026-08-10 07:00 UTC	$0.20	0.40%	-0.02%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-10 06:00 UTC	$0.20	0.40%	-0.06%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-10 05:00 UTC	$0.20	0.40%	-0.05%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-10 04:00 UTC	$0.20	0.40%	0.04%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-10 03:00 UTC	$0.20	0.40%	0.05%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-10 02:00 UTC	$0.20	0.39%	-0.07%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-10 01:00 UTC	$0.20	0.39%	-0.09%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-10 00:00 UTC	$0.20	0.38%	0.06%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 23:00 UTC	$0.19	0.38%	0.09%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 22:00 UTC	$0.20	0.37%	0.01%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 21:00 UTC	$0.20	0.39%	-0.01%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 20:00 UTC	$0.20	0.41%	0.01%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 19:00 UTC	$0.20	0.41%	-0.00%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 18:00 UTC	$0.20	0.43%	-0.01%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 17:00 UTC	$0.20	0.43%	-0.01%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 16:00 UTC	$0.20	0.44%	-0.00%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 15:00 UTC	$0.20	0.44%	-0.00%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 14:00 UTC	$0.20	0.56%	-0.05%	$0.20 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 13:00 UTC	$0.20	0.62%	-0.03%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 12:00 UTC	$0.20	0.64%	0.01%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 11:00 UTC	$0.20	0.64%	-0.01%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	$0.20	0.66%	0.03%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	$0.20	0.66%	0.06%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold
2026-08-09 08:00 UTC	$0.20	0.65%	0.02%	$0.19 – $0.20	hold

Intraday refresh targets
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